Sunday, November 11, 2012

The Ninja Stock Monitor: agi, bloom, bpi, dmc, gtcap, pnb, sm, tel, vll (11 nov 2012)


selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks 

legend:

c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
macd: moving average convergence divergence ...  values: 12; 26; 9
rsi: relative strength index ... values: 14; 30; 70
sts: stochastics ... values: 15; 3; 5
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged 
(+): higher
(-): lower


09 nov closing prices 

agi (alliance global group, inc)

c: 15.08(+)
s: 14.92, 14.50, 14.10
r:  15.26; 15.42
vol: (average)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 60.43(+)
sts: 77.78(-)
rem: the 20DMA @ around 14.92 provided the support for agi last friday ... how strong it would be we will see the coming week ... sts just pierced the 80 level pointing south ... just trade according to plan

bloom (bloomberry resorts corp)

c: 14.10(-)
s: 14
r:  14.58
vol: (+)
macd: >0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 62.79(-)
sts: 63.09(-)
rem: bloom closed at the same closing price during the previous monitor after briefly breaching the 15 level and touching 15.10 the past week ... macd ... rsi ... sts all gave sell signals ... just monitor for the new cycle


bpi (bank of the philippine islands)

c: 85.50(unchanged)
s: 85.35; 81
r:  85.80, 86
vol: (average)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: + 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 66.09(unchanged)
sts: 95.59(-)
rem: doji ... bpi closed at its 52-week high ... macd still up but the histogram showed some weakening ...  just respect the stops and trade according to plan

dmc (dmci holdings)

c: 52.10 (+)
s: 52
r:  52.50, 53
vol: (-)
macd: <0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 15.64(+)
sts: 2.93(+)
rem: dmc closed just above the 52 support last friday ... seems the histogram .. rsi and sts indicate that the bottom may have already been reached ... continue monitoring ... if the bottom has indeed been reached .. a possible initial position may be taken

gtcap (gt capital holdings)

c: 542(+)
s: 538.50, 536
r:  544, 545
vol: (average)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 52.3(+)
sts: 60.92(+)
rem: hold ... 

pnb (philippine national bank)

c: 71.80(-)
s: 70.60
r:  72, 73
vol: (-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 49.16(-)
sts: 32.85(+)
rem: histogram is slowily inching up ..just continue monitoring

sm (sm investments)

c: 815(+)
s: 799.50, 795.50
r:  816, 829.50
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 60.99(+)
sts: 32.24(-)
rem: sm may indeed have already established its base ... monitor closely for a possible initial position


tel (pldt)

c: 2630(+)
s: 25.82
r:  2650
vol: (average)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 42.47(+)
sts: 19.23(+)
rem: just continue monitoring


vll (vista land and landscapes)

c: 5.12(-)
s: 5.09, 5.00
r:  5.20
vol: (+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: >0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 70.28(-)
sts: 88.89(-)
rem: seems 5.20 is the present res ... indicators are starting to deteriorate ... may consider selling half of my vll position in the the coming days ...

see also:
how do i pick stocks to trade (07 sept 2012)
my trading tactics

p.s. readers are encouraged to check out the stocks' charts themselves .. using the values for each of the indicators (the values for the indicators are the default values used in citiseconline.com's charts) ... in the absence of any personal charting program, the pse website's charts may be used .. 

WEB Q3 2012


Philweb (WEB) Q3 2012

assets: 3.092 billion pesos
liabilities: 442.7 million pesos
equity attributable to parent company: 2.644 billion pesos
paid-up capital: 1.389 billion pesos
cash and cash equivalent: 329.62 million pesos
retained earnings: 1.672 billion pesos

revenue 9 months 2012: 1.08 billion pesos
revenue 9 months 2011: 831.53 million pesos
% change: 30.15%

net income 9 months 2012 attributable to parent company: 682.4 million pesos
net income 9 months 2011 attributable to parent company: 548.5 million pesos
% change: 24.42%

last closing price (09 nov 2012): 14.16 pesos
earnings per share (annualized): 64 centavos
trailing price-earnings ratio: 22.11 x
book value per share: 1.86 pesos
price/book value: 7.61
return on equity: 34.41%
return on assets: 29.43%
net income margin: 63.05%

current ratio: 2.87
debt-to-equity: 0.17


source of basic data: Q3 2012 Financial Report 2012

http://www.pse.com.ph/resource/corpt/2012/WEB_17Q_Sep2012.pdf



remarks:

1. revenue and net income growth are still impressive
2. roe and roa are still quite good
3. net income margin still high
4. web is liquid.
5. low debt.
6. web's p/e is still quite high for me.






















Tuesday, November 6, 2012

SEVN Q3 2012


selected stock report for the day: SEVN Q3 2012


assets: 3.932 billion pesos
liabilities: 2.246 billion pesos
equity: 1.686 billion pesos
paid-up capital: 347.329 million pesos
treaury shares: 6.686 million shares
cash and cash equivalent: 227.580 million pesos
retained earnings: 1.045 billion pesos

revenue 9 months 2012: 9.457 billion pesos
revenue 9 months 2011: 7.164 billion pesos
% change: 32.00%

net income 9 months 2012: 224.426 million pesos
net income 9 months 2011: 174.745 million pesos
% change: 28.43%

last closing price (06 nov 2012): 78 pesos
earnings per share (annualized): 87.64 centavos
trailing price-earnings ratio: 88.79 x
book value per share: 4.86 pesos
price/book value: 16.06
return on equity: 17.74%
return on assets: 7.61%
net income margin: 2.37%

current ratio: .72
debt-to-equity: 1.33


source of basic data: Q3 Financial Report 2012

http://www.pse.com.ph/resource/corpt/2012/SEVN_17Q_Sep2012.pdf


remarks:

1. the trailing p/e of 88.79 is quite high.
2. revenue and net income change y/y is cool.
3. roe is relatively ok
4. current ratio is less than 1
5. debt to equity is greater than 1
6. impressive retained earnings ... i guess it is already fully priced in?
7. sevn is only giving a 15% stock dividend in 2012 ... i was expecting something higher ... if not in 2012 .. then ill be expecting it again next year ... but at a p/e of 90 x ??? ... maybe ill have to wait for a p/e more comfortable for me first


what i read today: Extra-Marital Dating Sites, Anger, Hurricanes, And More (06 nov 2012)

been stuck in a rut the past few weeks ... been there a couple of times before .. yet it never fails to leave me devastated ...

i just want to post this as a reminder to myself .. from my favorite blogger, James Altucher
But then it’s over. Then you accept what is and move on. It’s also nice to clean things out. To start fresh. To realize that everything in life is here for only a moment. It’s our choice: enjoy the moment or not enjoy the moment. What will you choose? Why would you choose to fight? If you have high expectations for nature then you will be often disappointed. We came into this world naked and we will leave here naked.
... do the other things:
Physical: Eat well, sleep well, stay in shape. Take a walk. Exercise. Cheryl Strayed, author of “Wild” said the other day in an interview: “I challenge you to walk 20 minutes and not feel better at the end of it.”
Emotional: Only be around people who love me. Only respond to people who love me. Only respond to people I love. For me, it’s easy to get bogged down in destructive criticism instead of spending time with the people I love.
Spiritual: Surrender to the moment. Understand that I can’t control everything around me. Be grateful for what I have. Be blessed that I can enjoy the small things in this moment.
...

jamesaltucher.com
Extra-Marital Dating Sites, Anger, Hurricanes, And More
http://www.jamesaltucher.com/2012/11/extra-marital-dating-sites-anger-hurricanes-and-more/



Sunday, November 4, 2012

The Ninja Stock Monitor: agi, bloom, bpi, dmc, gtcap, pnb, sm, tel, vll (04 nov 2012)

selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks 

legend:

c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
macd: moving average convergence divergence ...  values: 12; 26; 9
rsi: relative strength index ... values: 14; 30; 70
sts: stochastics ... values: 15; 3; 5
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged 
(+): higher
(-): lower


31 oct 2012 closing prices 

agi (alliance global group, inc)

c: 14.88(+)
s: 14.78; 14.50; 14.20; 14.10
r:  14.95; 15; 15.14; 15.42
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 59.87(+)
sts: 48.33(+)
rem: agi seems to have turned the bend on 27-28 oct ... histogram, rsi and sts now all pointing north .. no macd buy signal yet ... 


bloom (bloomberry resorts corp)

c: 14.10(+)
s: 13.80; 13.10
r:  14.42; 14.64
vol: (+)
macd: >0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 69.32(+)
sts: 67.87(+)
rem: bloom's bottom may have already been set @13.10 last 24 oct ... macd ... rsi ... sts all moving positively ... no macd buy signal yet ...

bpi (bank of the philippine isalnds)

c: 81(-)
s: 80; 77.60
r:  84.20; 84.35
vol: (+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 52.54(-)
sts: 74.38(-)
rem: histogram crossed negative territory ... rsi pointing south .. sts breached the 80 mark from above ... bpi seems to have changed direction already after kissing 84 twice ... start monitoring  .. 


dmc (dmci holdings)

c: 54(unchanged)
s: 53.85,53.50; 53
r:  54.05; 55; 56.20
vol: (+)
macd: <0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 20.44(unchanged)
sts: 6.07(-)
rem: dmc is still trending down altho it formed a doji last wednesday ... lets see if the doji signals a change in the short term trend in the coming days


gtcap (gt capital holdings)

c: 530.00(+)
s: 525.50, 522
r:  531.50, 533.50; 540, 543
vol: (-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 42.38(+)
sts: 15.13(+)
rem: looks like gtcap has already established 522 as its bottom ... its histogram continuing with its (-,-,+) set up for the 3rd straight day .. both rsi and sts still heading north ... 

pnb (philippine national bank)

c: 72(+)
s: 70.40, 70
r:  72.80, 73.30
vol: (-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 48.58(+)
sts: 24.89(+)
rem: a possible bottom may have already been reached @70.75 ... macd exhibiting (-,-,+), sts showing the green arrow ... breaching the 20 mark from below ...

sm (sm investments)

c: 803(+)
s: 802, 800
r:  810, 829.50
vol: (average)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 56.18(+)
sts: 42.07(-)
rem: lets see if sm is in the process of establishing its bottom

tel (pldt)

c: 2650(-)
s: 2648, 2634
r:  2678, 2700
vol: (+)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 37.82(-)
sts: 10.59(+)
rem: is 2634 already the bottom? start monitoring


vll (vista land and landscapres)

c: 4.80(+)
s: 4.70, 4.69
r:  4.88, 4.90, 4.96
vol: (+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 57.82(+)
sts: 25.4(+)
rem: just continue monitoring ... add to the position at one's discretion


see also:
how do i pick stocks to trade (07 sept 2012)
my trading tactics

p.s. readers are encouraged to check out the stocks' charts themselves .. using the values for each of the indicators (the values for the indicators are the default values used in citiseconline.com's charts) ... in the absence of any personal charting program, the pse website's charts may be used .. 

stok tots: ltg/tdy (04 nov 2012)

LT GROUP/TDY 3Q 2012

assets: 115.5 billion pesos
liabilities: 50.0 billion pesos
equity: 65.5billion pesos

revenue 2012 3Q: 28.8 billion pesos
net income 2012 3Q: 5.7 billion pesos

last closing price (31 oct 2012): 11.50 pesos
earnings per share:  63.43 centavos
trailing price-earnings ratio: 18.13 x
book value per share: 5.45 pesos
price/book value: 2.11
return on equity: 34.92%
return on assets: 19.74%
net income margin: 27.40%
current ratio: 1.65
debt-to-equity: 0.77

source of basic data: Unaudited Interim Income Statement, LT GROUP, Inc. (Jan-Sept 2012)

http://www.pse.com.ph/resource/disclosures/2012/pdf/dc2012-7881_TDY.pdf


remarks:

1. no. of shares used in computing for the pe/eps : 11.981 billion shares = 8.981 billion shares + 3 B shares (09 aug 2012 BOD meeting)
2. 10+ trailing p/e is already comparable to other holding companies
3. return on assets and return on capital are quite high .. implying efficient use of assets and stockholders' money
4. net income margin is also quite impressive
5. lt group is quite liquid ..
6. debt to equity ratio is quite low (current liabilities/equity)
7. it is assumed that the figures submitted are net of pal's

im quite impressed with lt g's 3Q 2012 figures


in the news: chips (01 nov 2012)


Laguna-based semiconductor firm nears deal to acquire Asian rival

Thursday, November 1, 2012

stok tots: is ur stok a duck? (01 nov 2012)


from financemanila.net as posted by fm member shoyu_ramen
Mon Oct 29, 2012 6:49 am

meron 2 nag-iinuman na sabungero ...
sabungero 1: paano mo malalaman na may tanga sa sabungan?
sabungero 2: paano?
sabungero 1: meron nag dala ng bibe! :lol:  

sabungero 1: e paano mo naman malalaman na meron pa mas tanga (dun sa nagdala ng bibe) sa sabungan? 
sabungero 2: paano?
sabungero 1: meron pumusta sa bibe!! :lol:  

sabungero 1: eto mas matinde ... paano mo malalaman na may mafia sa sabungan?
sabungero 2: paano? 
sabungero 1: nanalo yung bibe!!! :lol:

http://www.financemanila.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=1110&p=544489#p544489