Wednesday, September 28, 2016

chart monitor: DNL/D&L INDUSTRIES, INC. (28 SEPT 2016)


DNL chart as of 28 SEPT 2016
(click on the chart to enlarge)

remarks: 


1. DNL closed higher to 11.68 ...

2. resistance: 11.80 ....

3. the macd histogram is higher but still below the 0 - horizontal (no macd buy signal yet)...

4. im just monitoring ...

STOCK TRADING IS A VERY SPECULATIVE ACTIVITY ... IT IS NOT SAFE FOR NEWBIES AND OLDIES ALIKEogram  ... LOSING YOUR MONEY IS A REAL POSSIBILITY AT ALL TIMES!



p.s. readers are encouraged to check out the stocks' charts themselves .. using the values for each of the indicators (the values for the indicators are the default values used in citiseconline.com's charts) ... in the absence of any personal charting program, the pse website's charts are enough for the purpose.

chart monitor: MWIDE/MEGAWIDE CONSTRUCTION CORPORATION (28 SEPT 2016)


MWIDE chart as of 28 SEPT 2016
(click on the chart to enlarge)

remarks: 

chart monitor: ALT/ALTERRA CAPITAL PARTNERS, INC (28 SEPT 2016)


ALT chart as of 28 SEPT 2016
(click on the chart to enlarge)

remarks: 

Sunday, September 18, 2016

non-stok tots: Tilopa's Six Words of Advice to Naropa (18 SEPT 2016)

Tilopa's Six Words of Advice to Naropa


Let go of what has passed.

Let go of what may come.

Let go of what is happening now.

Don’t try to figure anything out.

Don’t try to make anything happen.

Relax, right now, and rest.

Thursday, September 15, 2016

stok tots: g a g o ! (15 SEPT 2015)

to investors ....


IBA ANG TRADERS SA INVESTORS PO ....

WAG I COMPARE ANG DALAWA ...

YUNG STOCK MARKET IS FOR TRADERS ...

INVESTORS ARE JUST THERE TO BUY ... AND SLEEP ...

TRADERS ARE THERE EVERYDAY TO MAKE MONEY OK?

TANG INA NAMAN KASI .. PINAGPIPILITAN ANG VALUATION NG INVESTORS E HINDI NAMAN YUN ANG BASIS FOR TRADING!!!

WAKE UP MAN .. TRADERS ARE DIFFERENT FROM INVESTORS OK???

chart monitor: ARA/ARANETA PROPERTIES INC. (15 SEPT 2016)


ARA chart as of 14 SEPT 2016
(click on the chart to enlarge)

remarks: 

Saturday, September 10, 2016

what i read today: Listening to the Flow of Market Conversation (10 SEPT 2016)

http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2016/08/listening-to-flow-of-market-conversation.html

chart monitor: AC/AYALA CORPORATION (10 SEPT 2016)


AC chart as of 09 SEPT 2016
(click on the chart to enlarge)

remarks: 

stok tots: more on the "macd histogram trading system" (10 SEPT 20016)

a further elaboration on my "macd histogram trading system" as i explained recently to an Finance Manila reader ...


Hi Boss Shoyu,

I am an avid follower of yours. Trying to apply your simple trading system into mine but I still have a long way to go in terms of controlling my emotions in trading and making the most of the run ups. Curious ako boss kung ano trading style mo for VITA. Assuming u sold all ur positions in tranches at 3-3.10 before it corrected to as low as 2 pesos yesterday (when its macd histograms fell below the 0 - horizontal), what will be ur next steps if u intend to enter again on a trending stock? Do you enter immediately or antay mo boss pag mgstart na sya magrise from the bottom baka kc dcb lang nangyari and pababa pa sya at baka ndi pa nareach bottom? 
Appreciate your insights boss.

Thank you in advance and more power to you! :D


my response:


hi ...

first of all .. wala sa bokabularyo ko yun dead cat bounce ... 

so ...

i let the macd histogram fall below the 0 - horizontal ...

then wait until it hits the bottom and starts to rise ...

then start buying .. 1/3 muna of your budget for the stock .. see if it continues to rise ..

if it does not rise and goes further down .. then u sell .. 1/3 lang yun loss mo ... instead of buo ng pera mo ..

but if it rises further .. then buy another 1/3 ... and continue buying hanggang maubos budget mo for the stock ....

by the time it crosses the 0 - horizontal of the macd ... naubos mo na budget mo ... and u just wait for your sell signal ... 

your sell signal? when your stop is hit ... 

the stop is set at the start of your buying ... depende na sa iyo kung saan mo ilalagay .. basta below the price you entered ... usually below the last support ... as the price increases .. you adjust your stop higher .. to below the next support .. 

so you sell if the price goes down to below the support .. you dont sell at the top ... its a trend following system .. the top is known after the fact na ... so you dont really know if your selling at the top at the moment of your selling .. you know its the top if pababa na yun price ... then your stop is hit .. then you selll ... you sell pakonti konti .. or you sell alll at once .. depende na sa situation .. 

gets mo?

just ask again if may question ka pa ...

good luck ..

Friday, September 9, 2016

stok tots: questions .... (09 SEPT 2016)

questions yesterday from an FB reader:


question:

Sir! How about MEG and VITA? Thanks!


answer:

meg ... tumaas yun price today but the macd histogram is still falling ... so ill wait until the histogram is rising before starting to position ..

vita .. same den .. altho the price is rising .. the macd histogram is still falling ... so ill wait muna den

well you can buy if you want ... but buy small muna .. add na lang kung tumaas



Sunday, September 4, 2016

jfc and my "macd histogram trading system" (04 SEPT 2016)

as i was surfing FB stock market pages and reading posts ... it got me wondering ... "teka ... effective ba talaga system ko? ... kumikita ba talaga ako sa aking simple stock market trading system? ...

so .. i started with my simple investigation on whether my simple system is really an effective one ...

first .. ano muna system ko?

eto ....

1. buy stocks when

- their macd histograms fall below the 0 - horizontal
- the macd histogram starts to rise from their bottoms

2. sell when the price hits the cut/stop loss price


i got the past year's chart of my favorite stock - jfc .... and marked the areas when the macd histogram is below the 0 - horizontal and when it is just starting to go up ... and marked the closing price the day after reaches the top (top secret yun stop loss formula ko so ito na lang ang gagamitin ko for this experiment) ...



so here are the results ...

macd histogram below 0;                                1 day after the top                        difference
histogram starts to go up

aug 26 2015    -   182.20                                           207                                           24.80
nov 20 2015    -   200                                                219                                           19
jan 13 2016     -   205                                                234                                           29
april 20 2016   -  226                                                 235.60                                       8.60
june 16 2016   -   234                                                 255                                          21
sept 1 2016     -    253                                                  -                                               -
                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                            ----------------
                                                                                                                                   102.40


based on there prices .. jfc gave me a profit of 102.40 pesos from trading using my "macd histogram trading system (in the absence of any other name)"   .. or a 40.96% return (over 250 pesos last friday's closing price) ....

comparing it with a simple buy and hold system ...  it gives us a 67.80 peso profit or a return of 27.12 ...

clearly my "macd histogram trading system" is superior to a mere buy and hold strategy ....

i admit sobrang simplistic yun example ... but you get the idea im trying to drive at ... na profitable system ko ...

ill revisit the trading system using another stock example some other time ... but for now hanggang dito na muna ...



chart monitor: AC/AYALA CORPORATION (04 SEPT 2016)


AC chart as of 02 SEPT 2016
(click on the chart to enlarge)

remarks: