Sunday, December 16, 2018

would i buy this stock now? AC, ALI, BDO, JFC, MER, SM, SMC, SMPH (16 DEC 2018)


***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

i buy stocks only when they fulfill two conditions:

- their macd histograms are below the macd 0 - line and
- their current prices are higher than their most recent bottoms ...

so .. would i buy these stocks now?

1. AC - yes ... cutloss just below 905.50 (example: 900.00) ..
2. ALI - no
3. BDO - yes ... cutloss just below 126.50 (example: 126.00) ...
4. JFC - no ...
5. MER - yes ... cutloss just below 366.20 ... altho personally i wont buy MER na (it is too high na for me - more than 5% na from the cutloss price) ...
6. SM - no ...
7. SMC - no ... altho below the macd 0 - line na sya ... it might still go down ...
8. SMPH - no ... altho the price is below the macd 0 - line na ... the price is still falling ...
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A VERY SHORT COURSE ON HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakout ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

*what i dont?
http://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2012/03/what-i-dont.html.

what is a "short term trend follower"