Saturday, December 29, 2018

would i buy this stock now? AC, ALI, BDO, JFC, MER, SM, SMC, SMPH (29 DEC 2018)


***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

i buy stocks only when they fulfill two conditions:

- their macd histograms are below the macd 0 - line and
- their current prices are higher than their most recent bottoms ...

so .. would i buy these stocks now?

1. AC - no... altho the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the price closed lower pa ...
2. ALI - no ... altho the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the price is not higher pa ...
3. BDO - yes ... cutloss just below 122.00 (example: 121.00) ...
4. JFC - no ... altho the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the price is lower pa ...
5. MER - no ... altho the macd histogram just breached the 0 - line to the downside ... it closed at the low ...
6. SM - yes ... cutloss just below 906.00 (example: 905.00) ...
7. SMC - yes ... cutloss just below 139.00 (example 138.50) ...
8. SMPH - yes ... cutloss  just below 34.10 (example 34.00) ...
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A VERY SHORT COURSE ON HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakout ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

*what i dont?
http://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2012/03/what-i-dont.html.

what is a "short term trend follower"