Showing posts with label sevn. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sevn. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

SEVN Q3 2012


selected stock report for the day: SEVN Q3 2012


assets: 3.932 billion pesos
liabilities: 2.246 billion pesos
equity: 1.686 billion pesos
paid-up capital: 347.329 million pesos
treaury shares: 6.686 million shares
cash and cash equivalent: 227.580 million pesos
retained earnings: 1.045 billion pesos

revenue 9 months 2012: 9.457 billion pesos
revenue 9 months 2011: 7.164 billion pesos
% change: 32.00%

net income 9 months 2012: 224.426 million pesos
net income 9 months 2011: 174.745 million pesos
% change: 28.43%

last closing price (06 nov 2012): 78 pesos
earnings per share (annualized): 87.64 centavos
trailing price-earnings ratio: 88.79 x
book value per share: 4.86 pesos
price/book value: 16.06
return on equity: 17.74%
return on assets: 7.61%
net income margin: 2.37%

current ratio: .72
debt-to-equity: 1.33


source of basic data: Q3 Financial Report 2012

http://www.pse.com.ph/resource/corpt/2012/SEVN_17Q_Sep2012.pdf


remarks:

1. the trailing p/e of 88.79 is quite high.
2. revenue and net income change y/y is cool.
3. roe is relatively ok
4. current ratio is less than 1
5. debt to equity is greater than 1
6. impressive retained earnings ... i guess it is already fully priced in?
7. sevn is only giving a 15% stock dividend in 2012 ... i was expecting something higher ... if not in 2012 .. then ill be expecting it again next year ... but at a p/e of 90 x ??? ... maybe ill have to wait for a p/e more comfortable for me first


Sunday, July 15, 2012

The Ninja Stock Monitor (15 jul 2012)


selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks
these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged
(+): higher
(-): lower


13 july 2012 closing prices


agi (alliance global)

c: 11.68 (+)
s: 11.64 (intraday low); 11.50, 11.38
r:  11.74 (intraday high); 11.92 12
vol: (-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 46.75 (+)
sts: 50.72 (+)
rem: monitor for possible initial reentry position


fph (first philippine holdings)

c: 76.90 (-)
s: 76.30
r:  77.88 (intraday high)
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 61.39 (-)
sts: 73.38 (-); sell signal
rem: sts sell signal .. macd and rsi gave sell signals days go ... just monitor


glo

c: 1121 (+)
s: 1110
r:  1137 (intraday high)
vol: (+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 53.32(+)
sts: 53.1 (-)
rem: 1110 seems to be a strong support ... just monitor

ict

c: 70.85 (-)
s: 70.8 (intraday low)
r:  71.95 (intraday high)
v: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 46.55 (-)
sts: 13.57(+)
rem: support of 70.7 seems to have held ... just monitor

sevn (philippine seven)

c: 61 (+)
s: 59.60 (intraday low)
r: 62
vol: (+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 78.59(+)
sts: 87.3 (-)
rem: 60 seems to be holding ... asm is nearing ... expect volatility in the coming days .. closely monitor for possible violent exit

sm (sm investments corp)

c: 725 (-)
s: 724
r:  740 (intraday high)
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 53.73 (-)
sts: 64.66 (-)
rem: doji ... just monitor .. possible reentry if reversal happens


web (philweb)

c: 14.02 (+)
s: 13.28 (intraday low)
r: 14.02 (intraday high)
vol: (+)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 56.19(+)
sts: 70.76 (+)
rem: very beautiful price action the past week .. fantastic entry ... just adjust stops ...


*click here for the previous The Ninja Stock Monitor (08 july 2012)

Sunday, July 8, 2012

The Ninja Stock Monitor (08 jul 2012)


selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks
these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged
(+): higher
(-): lower


06 july 2012 closing prices

agi (alliance global)

c: 11.82 (-)
s: 11.64 (intraday low); 11.50, 11.44
r:  11.92 (intraday high); 12
vol: (-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 47.82 (-)
sts: 69.57 (+)
rem: just monitor

fph (first philippine holdings)

c: 77.50 (-)
s: 77; 75; 74.55
r:  78 (intraday high); 78.55
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 72.85 (-)
sts: 90.8 (+)
rem: macd seems to be losing steam, rsi and sts both at overbought levels .. both pointing south; just monitor

glo

c: 1164 (unchanged)
s: 1120
r:  1167 (intraday high); 1172
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 64.87 (unchanged)
sts: 95.66 (+)
rem: doji; macd still pointing up ... sts at overbought levels ... just monitor

ict

c: 74.00 (unchanged)
s: 73.50 (intraday low); 71
r:  74.3 (intraday high); 75
v: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 55.04 (unchanged)
sts: 77.22(-) ... sell signal
rem: 2 dojis in a row ... sts gave a sell signal .. just monitor

jfc (jollibee food corp)

c: 105.1 (-)
s: 103.50; 100
r:  107.30 (intraday high); 109.80
vol: (-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 47.34 (-)
sts: 52 ()
rem: jfc is going neither here nor there .. just monitor

sevn (philippine seven)

c: 57.5 (+)
s: 50 (intraday low)
r: 58; 60
vol: (average)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 82.78(+)
sts: 80.56 (+)
rem: the moment of reckoning is near .. will sevn breach 60? both rsi and sts at overbought levels already ... just quite ripe... closely monitor

sm (sm investments)

c: 745 (+)
s: 742 (intraday low)
r: 750 (intraday high)
vol: (-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 67.73(+)
sts: 83.32 (-)
rem: doji ...  will sm continue on beyond 750? sm closed at its 52week high and also its highest close ever ... just monitor

web (philweb)

c: 12.28 (+)
s: 12.1 (intraday low)
r: 12.3 (intraday high)
vol: (average)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 17.79(-)
sts: 3.04 (+)
rem: possible bottom reached already? monitor for reentry


*click here for the previous The Ninja Stock Monitor (20 june 2012)

Sunday, July 1, 2012

my stock picks for the coming weeks (01 jul 2012)

for these coming weeks .. im looking at the following issues with my reasons for choosing them:

1. sevn: on 24 july 2012, sevn will have its annual stockholders' meeting, with the approval of a stock dividend declaration on the agenda. however, its not clear how much will be declared ... only that the capital stock will be increased from 400M to 600 M.

im thinking sevn will be quite active (actually it has already been quite volatile the past 2 weeks with large foreign crosses) leading to the asm.

2. mih: mih's stockholders in the recent asm authorised management to: a. divest its shares in two of its subsidiaries; b. look for new acquisitions to replace the two subsidiaries to be sold (im looking at an acquisition with payment to be made in mih stocks .. thereby carrying out a backdoor listing via a share swap);  and c: conduct a stock buyback of around 28M mih shares at a minuimum price of mih's book value.

mih has already made quite some move, closing last friday (29 jun 2012) at 2.60 (it is reported that mih's book value stands presently at 2.50 per share). im looking at further price volatility as new developments regarding the planned divestments and prospective backdoor listing unfold.

3. atn: i have no other reason for buying atn (i started buying last may @1.69) except that when i asked my brokers about why the brokerage house has been buying almost every trading day .. their innocent response was: client order (wahahaha).

i have no target prices for all these picks .. im just dependent on price action to show me the way.