Thursday, December 26, 2019

2018 sm, smph, bdo (notes)

2018 annual income:

sm - 37.1 B
smph - 32.1 B
bdo - 32.7 B

no. of shares

sm - 1.2 B
smph - 28.9 B
bdo - 4.4 B


eps (2018)

sm - 30.92
smph - 1.11
bdo - 7.43

p/e (latest price/2018)

sm - 34.15
smph - 37.39
bdo - 21.18

Saturday, December 14, 2019

some select stocks (14 DEC 2019)

this is what i would do if i were trading the stock (my simple system is found after the stock list below)

STOCK LIST:

ali: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...

bdo: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...

bpi: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...

kppi: cutloss just below 9.48 ...

sm: cutloss just below 1051 ...

smph: the macd histogram is already above the 0 - line ...

wlcon: cutloss just below 17.90

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***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

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my simple trading system (09 DEC 2019)
https://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2019/12/my-simple-trading-system-09-dec-2019.html



Monday, December 9, 2019

my simple trading system (09 DEC 2019)


this is my simple trading system which i found to work for me over the years ...

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:

1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:

1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?

1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?

1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

* what i don't:

i dont think in terms of/i dont use:
1. trendlines
2. channels
3. patterns (with certain exceptions)
4. fibonaccis
5. cost averaging
6. elliots
7. parabolics
8. retracements/dips
9. "bull'' or "bear" markets

i don't
1. like to catch falling knives
2. predict the future
3. set tps
4. do blind/naked trading: no plan, no trade (there are exceptions to this rule)
5. care about the dow nor the p6
6. daytrade (ok ... in exceptional cases ... sometimes i do daytrade)
7. shortsell
8. over analyse: i try to always remember  ... i make my money by trading ... not by analysing
9. like to keep things complicated nor think that the more sophisticated or more technical sounding the better
10. try to fool myself and be in denial when things dont go my way

what is a "short term trend follower"

i have other rules but those are minor details na ... the ones above are my main rules ... happy trading! good luck!

in the news: LR/LEISURE & RESORTS WORLD CORP.

Saturday, November 9, 2019

some select stocks (09 NOV 2019)

this is what i would do if i were trading the stock (my simple system is found after the stock list below)

STOCK LIST:

aba: cutloss just below the 0.81 centavos ...

aceph: while the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line .... the price is still falling ... wait pa muna before buying when the price is already rising ...

ali: cutloss just below 46.35 ...

bdo: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...

bpi: cutloss just below 95.20 ...

eei: the macd histogram is already above the 0 - line ...

ferro: the macd histogram is below the 0 - line already but the price is falling pa ... dont buy pa ...

home: no macd histogram (12, 26, 9) yet ... pababa pa yun price ...

kppi: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

mbt: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ... 

mpi: the price is falling pa ...

ppg: cutloss just below 10.14 ...

pxp: the price is falling pa ...

sm: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

smc: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

smph: the macd histogram is already above the 0 - line ...

wlcon: the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line ...

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

what i don't?
what is a "short term trend follower"

in the news: CAL-COMP TECHNOLOGY, INC.

Saturday, November 2, 2019

some select stocks (02 NOV 2019)

this is what i would do if i were trading the stock (my simple system is found after the stock list below)

STOCK LIST:

aba: the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... but the price is still down (one centavo lang above the lowest) ... id rather wait pa muna before thinking of buying ...

aceph: the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line .. wait pa muna before buying ...

ali: the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line: dont buy pa

bdo: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...

bpi: the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line ...

eei: cutloss just below 10.02 ...

ferro: the macd histogram is below the 0 - line already but the price is falling pa ... dont buy pa ...

home: no macd histogram (12, 26, 9) yet ... pababa pa yun price ...

kppi: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

mbt: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ... 

mpi: cutloss just below 4.73 ...

pxp: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

sm: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

smc: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

smph: the cutloss just below 38.00 ...

wlcon: the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line ...

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

what i don't?
what is a "short term trend follower"

Sunday, October 20, 2019

some select stocks (20 OCT 2019)


aba: the macd histogram is already above the 0 - line: look for some other stocks to buy ...

ali: the macd histogram is above the 0 -line already: dont buy pa

bdo: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...

ferro: cutloss just below 4.58 ...

phen: altho the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already, traders might still buy this up until wednesday ... but short term trend followers of my variety wont risk it anymore (on the sell side na) ...

sm: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

smph: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

what i don't?
what is a "short term trend follower"

Saturday, October 12, 2019

some select stocks (12 OCT 2019)


aba: cutloss just below 0.80 ...

ali: cutloss just below 45.00 ...

bdo: cutloss just below 137.00 ...

ferro: cutloss just below 4.58 ...

mpi: cutloss just below 4.68 ...

sm: the macd histogram just crossed the 0 - line to the upside ...

smph: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

what i don't?
what is a "short term trend follower"

Saturday, September 28, 2019

some select stocks (28 SEPT 2019)

28 SEPT 2018

aba: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

ac: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

ali: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

bdo: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

ferro: cutloss just below 5.13

mpi: cutloss just below 4.80

phen: while the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the closing price is at its lowest pa ... dont touch muna ako ...

ppc: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

ppg: while the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the closing price is among its lowest pa ... dont touch muna ako ... 

sm: cutloss just below 987.00 ...

smph: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

what i don't?
what is a "short term trend follower"

Sunday, September 22, 2019

some select stocks (22 SEPT 2019)

22 SEPT 2018

aba: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

ac: cutloss just below 888.00 (example: 880.00)

ali: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

bdo: cutloss just below 137.40 (example: 137.00)

ferro: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa

mpi: cutloss just below 4.99 (example: 4.90)

phen: cutloss just below 2.64 (example: 2.60)

ppc: cutloss just below 5.01 (example: 5.00)

ppg: cutloss just below 8.75 (example: 8.70)

sm: cutloss just below 987.00 (example: 980.00)

smph: the macd histogram is above the 0 - line pa ...

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakouts ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

what i don't?
what is a "short term trend follower"

Saturday, July 13, 2019

whats below the 0 - line today - 13 July 2019 (my checklist)

"whats below the 0 - line" is my indicator of what could possibly go up the 0 - line in the coming days ... altho what is below the 0 - line may also stay below the 0 - line indefinitely ...

whats the 0 - line? the 0 - line is the 0 - line of the MACD histogram (see Investopedia's MACD:
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ...

so what's below the 0 - line today, 13 July 2019?

Banks
3. CHIB (cutloss just below 26.75)
7. RCB (cutloss just below 26.20)
9. UBP (cutloss just below 60.50)

Casinos and Gaming
11. LR (cutloss just below 3.63)
12. PLC (cutloss just below 0.69)

Electricity, Energy, Power and Water
16. FGEN (cutloss just below 26.10)
17. MER (cutloss just below 376.20)
20. PHEN (cutloss just below 2.20)
21. PNX (cutloss just below 11.90)
23. PPG (cutloss just below 4.67)

Food, Beverages and Tobacco
25. FB (cutloss just below 101.40)
27. MAXS (cutloss just below 13.20)
28. URC (cutloss just below 164.10)

Holding Firms
31. AGI (cutloss just below 15.14)
35. MPI (cutloss just below 4.72)
36. SM (cutloss just below 945.00)

Properties
39. MEG (cutloss just below 5.90)

in the news: BRN/A. BROWN COMPANY

in the news: PGOLD/PUREGOLD PRICE CLUB, INC.


Monday, February 18, 2019

JFC ... at end of 2020 (18 FEB 2018)

using simple ratio and proportion ....

at 2018 estimated EPS of 7.49 (using COLs figures - 18 Feb 2019 earnings analysis) ...

and at todays closing price of 312.00 ...

and at JFCs estimted 2020 EPS of  10.30 ...

JFCs price at end of 2020 is projected at 429.05 ... ceteris paribus ...

would i buy this stock now? (pre-market: 18 FEB 2019)