Friday, February 22, 2019

would i buy this stock now? (22 FEB 2019)


***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

i buy stocks only when they fulfill two conditions:

- their macd histograms are below the macd 0 - line and
- their current prices are higher than their most recent bottoms ...

so .. would i buy these stocks now?

Banks

1. BDO - yes ... cutloss just below 128.30 (example: 128.00) ....
2. BPI - no ... while the macd histogram is below the 0 - line already .... the price is still falling ... last cutloss at just below 88.50 was hit ....

Conglomerates

3. AC - no .. the macd histogram is already above the 0 - line ...
4. AGI - yes ... cutloss just below 13.50 (example: 13.00) ...
5. AEV - yes ... cutloss just below 61.75 (example: 61.00) ...
6. SM - yes ... cutloss just below 955  (example: 950.00) ...
7. SMC - no ... the macd histogram is above the 0  - line already ... im on the sell side na ...

Consumer

8. FB - no ... the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already .... sa sell side na dapat ako ...
9. JFC - yes  ... cutloss just below 306.40 (example: 306.00) ...

Power

10. AP  - yes ... cutloss just below 34.00 (example: 33.50) ...
11. MER - no ... the macd histogram is above the 0 - line already ...
12. PHEN - yes ... cutloss just below 1.22 (example: 1.20) ...

Properties

13. ALI - yes ... cutloss just below 42.85 (example: 42.00) ...
14. SMPH - yes ... cutloss just below 37.80 (example: 37.00) ...

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A VERY SHORT COURSE ON HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakout ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

*what i dont?
http://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2012/03/what-i-dont.html.

what is a "short term trend follower"