Wednesday, February 6, 2019

would i buy this stock now? (06 FEB 2019)


***i am not a day trader
***follow me at finance manila

* these notes are good only for the next trading day ... and NOT for the subsequent trading days
* these notes are mine alone ... and are for sharing with short-term trend followers

i buy stocks only when they fulfill two conditions:

- their macd histograms are below the macd 0 - line and
- their current prices are higher than their most recent bottoms ...

so .. would i buy these stocks now?

Banks

1. BDO - no ... the macd histogram is already above the 0 - line ...
2. BPI - yes ... the macd histogram is still below the 0 - line ... cutloss just below 89.30 (example: 89.00) ....

Conglomerates

3. AC - yes .. the macd histogram is still below the 0 - line ... cutloss just below 903.00 (example: 900.00) ...
4. SM - no ... altho the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the price is falling pa .... id wait muna...
5. SMC - no ... the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line ...

Consumer

6. JFC - yes ... cutloss just below 307.60 (example: 305.00) ...
7. FB - no ... the macd histogram is still above the 0 - line ...

Power

8. AP  - no ... while the macd histogram is already below the 0 - line ... the price is falling pa ... wait muna ako ...
9. MER - yes ... cutloss just below 362.80 (example: 360.00) ...
10. PHEN - yes ... cutloss just below 1.22 (example: 1.20) ...

Properties

11. ALI - yes ... cutloss just below 42.85 (example: 42.00) ...
12. SMPH - yes ... cutloss just below 38.10 (example: 38.00) ...

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A VERY SHORT COURSE ON HOW I TRADE:

*my buy criteria: i buy when the following happens:
1. the macd histogram is below the 0 - line
2. if the current price is higher than the most recent price bottom
3. i buy on breakout ONLY when adding to an ALREADY EXISTING position

*when do i sell? i sell when:
1. i cutloss just below the most recent bottom
2. my trail stop is hit (this means that my position is already net positive)

*what stocks do i buy?
1. index stocks
2. stocks that have a current story as disclosed in the edge website ...

*what do i do when i start buying a stock?
1. when i buy, i buy in tranches .... when i see a stock fulfilling my buy criteria .... i initially buy 1/3 or 1/4 of my allocation for a particular stock ... then i wait and observe ...
2. on subsequent days ... when the price of the stock advances... i add 1/3 of my allocation ....
3. i add my last 1/3 allocation when the stock advances some more ...

*what i dont?
http://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2012/03/what-i-dont.html.

what is a "short term trend follower"