Saturday, September 22, 2012

so .. is px finally a buy? px ... 2 weeks after (px, 22 september 2012)

i posted this question two weeks ago when px closed at its 52-week low (17.20) ... and i said:

so ... is px already a buy?
i suggest to the reader to do his own analysis as an exercise ... will be good for u ... then lets compare notes
as for me ... ill wait a while first ... px may still go further south ... and i guess ill wait for the indicators to point up first before thinking of buying any share

is px already a buy? (px, 09 sept 2012)
http://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2012/09/is-px-already-buy-09-sept-2012.html

let me review now where px is at the moment and see if anything has changed to likewise change my views:

fundamentally .. we know that the mine will be closed until end of the year at least ... so nothing new there ...

technically:

The Ninja Stock Monitor (px, 21 sept 2012)

selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks

these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell
legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged 
(+): higher
(-): lower


21 sept 2012 closing prices 


px (philex mining)


c: 14.82 (-)
s: 14.82 (intraday low); 14.80; 13.74
r:  15.82 (intraday high); 16.12
vol: (+)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 22.6(-)
sts: 14.92(-)
rem: it seems nothing has changed except that px is 2.38 pesos lower than 2 weeks ago (-13.84%) ... macd,rsi and sts all still look bad ...  in this regard, im still a waiter:

  ill wait for the indicators to point up first before thinking of buying any share

btw.: px on sept 7-11 proved that the 52-week high on a friday rule also works the other way.

Secrets of the 52 Week High Friday Rule

Monday, September 17, 2012

3 weeks ago today ... (chips, 17 sept 2012)


an evening to remember ... 2 stocks for 2013 (27 aug 2012)


to those who bought chips when they read the 27 aug  2012 blog entry .... congrats for being too early despite my warning ... despite having no written technical nor fundamental justification (but yes .. i was expecting a stock dividend .. but not this early .. for 2013 pa!)

i always tell my self: dont be too greedy .. when unsure what to do: sell half ur position (protect profits agad) .. let the profits run some more for the other half ... adjust ur stops.

great trades! good times!




"Secrets of the 52 Week High Friday Rule"

for the past weeks ... certain issues have reached their 52-week highs  on a friday ... this reminds me of a certain "rule" tho to me is more of a supersitious belief (hehe) . the:


i first encountered it as a video presentation here: 

Secrets of the 52 Week High Friday Rule

it is self explanatory and maybe be of help to people in their trading (profitably i hope) ...


note: this is not anyone's rule .. shoyu_ramen's ... hototay's nor anybody ... its the 


52 Week High Friday Rule


final remark ... this is mainly relevant for short term traders who bought/own the stock on the 52-week high friday


great trades! good times!

Friday, September 14, 2012

Thursday, September 13, 2012

what i read today: The way of the ‘Dragon’ (13 sept 2012)


The way of the ‘Dragon’


By: Edmund Lao
September 10, 2012 on Business Mirror

REMEMBER Bruce Lee? He is the “Dragon” who revolutionized the martial arts industry. He was launched into stardom in “The Big Boss” by breaking Hong Kong’s box office record.
After two movies, he co-produced, wrote, choreographed, and directed “The Way of the Dragon” which was one his best films and showed Bruce’s lighter side.
Even on interviews, Bruce always gave powerful insights about martial arts and specially life and relationships. There are a lot of quotes by Bruce that can help us in our personal finance and investing behavior.
Let us study the way of the “Dragon”:
“Using no way as a way, having no limitation as limitation.” Most of the times, people limit their capabilities by limiting their mindset. The reason Bruce succeeded is he believed he is not limited. After an accident, the doctor said he can no longer walk and fight. But walk he did. There is truth to the saying: “Whatever the mind can conceive and believe, it can achieve”.
Empty your cup so that it may be filled; become devoid to gain totality. Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own. Most of the times, people just do not accept new knowledge. It is because of the old information they have obtained from others. Most often than not, these information are wrong. In teaching Jeet Kun Do (JKD), Bruce emphasized to students to unlearn first by discarding old knowledge so that they can absorb the new ones. A glass that is full will just overflow when water is poured into it. Empty our mind first, accept new information, then apply what is helpful and discard the useless. He also said “Learn the principle, abide by the principle, and dissolve the principle”. In short, obey the principle without being bound by it. LEARN, MASTER AND ACHIEVE!
A good fight should be like a small play, but played seriously. When the opponent expands, l contract. When he contracts, l expand. And when there is an opportunity… l do not hit…it hits all by itself. This principle is similar to stock market investment saying: “When everybody is greedy, I am afraid. When everybody is afraid, I am greedy.” Investing should always have flexibility just like water. Here is a good quote from him.”Empty your mind; be formless, shapeless, like water. If you put water into a cup, it becomes the cup. You put water into a bottle and it becomes the bottle. You put it in a teapot it becomes the teapot. Now, water can flow or it can crash. Be water my friend” and.  “Notice that the stiffest tree is most easily cracked, while the bamboo or willow survives by bending with the wind.”
Knowing is not enough, we must apply. Willing is not enough, we must do. If you spend too much time thinking about a thing, you’ll never get it done. Nowadays, information is widely accessible through e-forums, blogs, seminars, and TV shows. However, despite the influx of information, for whatever reason, people tend to procrastinate. As RFP Chinkee Tan said, Mindset plus Action = Result. Without action, there is no result. Indeed, procrastination is the thief of time. Time that has passed is time gone forever. Usually  people would always act when the time is up.
Preparation for tomorrow is hard work today. What we are is the result of what we did in the past. What we will be will be the result of what we do today. Remember, yesterday is a canceled cheque, tomorrow is a promissory note and today is our gift. So maximize our gift which is TIME by making it our ally. Sacrifice by working hard now, enjoy and reap the benefits later. Always look to the ants as shared by RFP Randell Tiongson in his blog.
The less effort, the faster and more powerful you will be. The highest technique is to have no technique. Here, Bruce shows us the power of leveraging, by using less effort for bigger result. The more we leverage properly, the easier life will be.
Those who are unaware they are walking in darkness will never seek the light. This is precisely one of the reasons why there is poverty. Not knowing the that they have violated some financial principle, they will never be able to open their mind to accept solutions being shared to them specially if they are blinded by consumerism. Bruce further stressed “The More we value things, the less we value ourselves.”
And lastly
A quick temper will make a fool of you soon enough. Bruce emphasized patience. Majority always are in a hurry to gain everything to the point that they fall to scams. Always make it a point to investigate and check their emotions before making major decision to avoid regretful results.
Happy investing!

Wednesday, September 12, 2012