in the news (what im reading) ... 28 apr 2012

SM Investments Upbeat In 2012, Q1 Profit Climbs 13% To P6B

San Miguel In Talks For More Acquisitions In Energy, Telecoms

Ayala, MWC Investing In Vietnam

DMCI net income jumps 22% in 2011 

Andrew Tan's AGI posts P14.7B profit in 2011

Filinvest Land eyes 20% profit growth in 2012

PSBank reports 1st Q profit of P546 M

my stock picks for the coming weeks (26 apr 2012)

its been a month since my last "my stock picks for the coming weeks" post and a lot has already happened since then. to review .. below is the list and my reasons for holding them:

1. web - 20% stock divs ex-date: 30 april 2012
2. fdc - east west bank listing: 7 may 2012
3. fph - rockwell land listing: by 14 may 2012
4. alhi - 100% stock divs ... no ex-date until now
5. scc - expectations of a more than 10 pesos cash divs by may 2012.

see: my stock picks for the coming weeks (29 mar 2012)

both web and fdc have since made some price appreciation and my reasons for holding them are about to come to pass. in this regard, im now dropping them from the list and im replacing them with new ones. here is my list as of 26 apr 2012 and my reasons for picking them:

1. fph - rockwell land listing: by 14 may 2012
2. smph - 25% stock div, 29 centavos cash div; ex-stock/ex-cash: 21 may 2012
3. loto - 50% stock div, ex-stock: after 23 may 2012 asm 
4. alhi - 100% stock divs ... no exdate until now
5. scc - expectations of a cash div

note:  these are my trading notes for my reference only ... by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

The Ninja Stock Monitor (22 apr 2012)

selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks
these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
dmi/adx: directional movement index/average directional index
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged
(+): higher
(-): lower


20 april 2012 closing prices

acr (alsons consolidated resources)

c: 1.38 (unch)
s: 1.36, 1.34
r:  1.41, 1.49
vol: (-)
dmi: +/32.52(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 49.54 (unch)
sts: 24.92 (-)
rem: just keep monitoring 

                 

agi (alliance global)

c: 12.34 (+)
s: 12.30
r:  12.68
vol: (-)
dmi: +/22.81(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 51.01 (-)
sts: 62.22 (+)
rem: profit taking from recent run up.. but still no macd buy signal


fph (first philippine holdings)

c: 65.90 (+)
s: 65.45 (intraday low)

r:  66.60(intraday high)
vol: (-)
dmi: +/30.09(+)
macd: > 0 ; buy signal
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 63.53 (+)
sts: 67.86 (-)
rem: hold

glo (globe telecoms)

c: 1103 (-)
s: 1090
r:  1121
vol: (+)
dmi: -/25.35(+)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 36.23 (-)
sts: 26.4(-)
rem: monitor closely


ict

c: 67.60 (-)
s: 67
r:  67.90
v:(-)
dmi: +/35.5(-)
macd: > 0 sell signal
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 67.69(-) sell signal
sts: 83.88(-)
rem: monitor closely .. still on correction mode .. sell signal for macdand rsi


jfc (jollibee food corp)

c: 109 (-)
s: 113
r:  105
vol: (+)
dmi: -/18.01(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 45.96 (-)
sts: 37.3 (-)
rem: still on downtrend 


marc (marcventures)

c: 3.71 (+)
s: 3.67
r:  3.82
vol: (-)
dmi: +/31.09(+)
macd: > 0; buy signal
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 69.19 (+)
sts: 88.17 (-)
rem: hold 


mwide (megawide)

c: 15.04 (-)
s: 15
r:  15.30
vol: (-)
dmi: +/25.83(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 65.63 (-)
sts: 82.7 (+)
rem: nothing doing


scc (semirara mining)

c: 244.40 (+)
s: 242
r:  245
vol: (-)
dmi: -/28.71(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: <0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 53.6(+)
sts: 34.7 (+)
rem: continue holding; possibly add some more


secb (security bank)

c: 146.10 (+)
s: 145.90
r:  146.30
vol: (+)
dmi: +/23.92(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 63.96(+)
sts: 77.67 (+)
rem: just continue monitoring


sm (sm investments)

c: 680.50 (unchanged)
s: 680 (intraday low)
r: 685
vol: (-)
dmi: +/18.83(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 63.61(unchanged)
sts: 89.96 (+)
rem: just continue waiting for a possible reentry


urc (universal robina)

c: 67 (-)
s: 65
r: 67.50
vol: (+)
dmi: +/39.71(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: >0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 71.21(-)
sts: 90 (-)
rem: wait


web (philweb)

c: 17.18 (+)
s: 17.02 (intraday low)
r: 17.18
vol: (+)
dmi: +/19.31(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 87.56(+)
sts: 99.33 (+)
rem: just continue on with the trading plan; rsi/st both at overbought levels

in the news (what im reading) ... 20 apr 2012

Philweb plans mobile lottery, TV gaming this year

PhilWeb eyes smaller gaming firms

Philweb sees 2012 profit doubling after 1Q net of P243 million

ISM bullish on PBCom investment

Merging Work And Play In Pico De Loro
 

URC to open biofuel plant in PH, factory in Burma

The Ninja Stock Monitor (17 apr 2012)

selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks
these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
dmi/adx: directional movement index/average directional index
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged
(+): higher
(-): lower


17 april 2012 closing prices

acr (alsons consolidated resources)

c: 1.38 (unch)
s: 1.36, 1.34
r:  1.41, 1.49
vol: (-)
dmi: +/36.07(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 4954 (unch)
sts: 24.63 (+) buy signal
rem: sts buy signal; could be trading already at the lows ...

                 

agi (alliance global)

c: 12.30 (+)
s: 12.04 (intraday low), 12.00
r:  12.42 (intraday high);12.50
vol: (+)
dmi: -/25.95(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 51.82 (+)
sts: 32.03 (+)
rem: getting interesting .. no macd buy signal yet


fph (first philippine holdings)

c: 66 (+)
s: 65 (intraday low)

r:  66.45(intraday high)
vol: (+)
dmi: +/28.91(+)
macd: > 0 ; buy signal
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 65.45 (+)
sts: 77.21 (+)
rem: nice move today .. possibly flexing its muscles for rockwell's listing

glo (globe telecoms)

c: 1137 (-)
s: 1128
r:  1149
vol: (+)
dmi: -/25.99(-)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 47.52 (-)
sts: 60.75(+)
rem: macd buy signal yesterday .. but doji today.. exercise caution


ict

c: 68.50 (-)
s: 68.50
r:  69
v: +
dmi: +/36.57(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram:> 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 75.92(-)
sts: 97.14(-)
rem: rsi/sts still at overbot levels


jfc (jollibee food corp)

c: 113.80 (-)
s: 113.1
r:  115
vol: (-)
dmi: -/17.08(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 53.78 (-)
sts: 64.57 (-)
rem: just monitor


marc (marcventures)

c: 3.65 (+)
s: 3.38
r:  3.68
vol: (+)
dmi: +/27.08(+)
macd: > 0; buy signal
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 67.59 (+)
sts: 92.45 (+)
rem: macd buy signal today


mwide (megawide)

c: 14.50 (-)
s: 14.50
r:  14.6
vol: (-)
dmi: +/26.06(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 62.25 (-)
sts: 77.06 (-)
rem: nothing doing


scc (semirara mining)

c: 245 (+)
s: 244
r:  247.20
vol: (+)
dmi: +/39.06(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: <0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 56.89(+)
sts: 43.94 (-)
rem: just holding


secb (security bank)

c: 141.10 (-)
s: 140
r:  142
vol: (+)
dmi: +/24.58(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 55.24(-)
sts: 24.18 (+)
rem: no action


sm (sm investments)

c: 670 (+)
s: 666 (intraday low)
r: 673
vol: (-)
dmi: +/14.27(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 60.04(+)
sts: 58 (+)
rem: just continue waiting for a possible reentry


urc (universal robina)

c: 66.50 (+)
s: 64.85
r: 66.80
vol: (+)
dmi: +/37.29(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 73.79(+)
sts: 95.73 (+)
rem: just continue monitoring


web (philweb)

c: 16.82 (+)
s: 16.60 (intraday low)
r: 16.90
vol: (+)
dmi: -/20.3(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 79.6(+)
sts: 93.02 (+)
rem: just continue on with the trading plan

in the news: agi, jfc, pec, pnb, scc, sm, smph, tdy, vmc (10 apr 2012)

Ayala, Meralco May Join Expansion

  

PNOC bares new coal find

  

Jollibee to open 300 more stores this year

SM unit eyes nearly P400M yearly from new arena boxes
 
Victorias Milling eyes trading revival by June

Travellers Int'l earnings up 57%

in the news: bloom, fpi, pbc, vll (09 apr 2012)

- PBCom bares aggressive growth goals

- Forum Energy readies drilling

- Vista Land chooses Rustan's Supermarket as anchor tenant in Evia

- Bloomberry willing to raise public float

The Ninja Stock Monitor (7 apr 2012)

selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks
these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
dmi/adx: directional movement index/average directional index
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged
(+): higher
(-): lower


4 april 2012 closing prices

acr (alsons consolidated resources)

c: 1.43 (-)
s: 1.36, 1.34
r:  1.45, 1.49
vol: (-)
dmi: +/43.81(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 55.81 (-)
sts: 35.71 (+)
rem: still no macd buy signal ... doji-red candle combination the past 2 days ... not good ... monitor closely

agi (alliance global)

c: 12.22 (-)
s: 12.20 (intraday low), 12.00
r:  12.40 (intraday high);13.00
vol: (-)
dmi: -/33.19(-) ... sell signal 2 days ago
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 48.36 (-)
sts: 16.22 (-)
rem: trend is still down ... dmi recently gave a sell signal ... continue monitoring ... no action


fph (first philippine holdings)

c: 64.90 (-)
s: 64.75 (intraday low), 63.4
r:  65.1(intraday high); 65.20; 65.40; 65.80
vol: (-)
dmi: +/34.12(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 64.93 (-)
sts: 66.6 (-)
rem: just continue holding.

glo (globe telecoms)

c: 1115 (+)
s: 1115; 1100
r:  1125
vol: (-)
dmi: -/26.61(+)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 37.77 (-)
sts: 3.82(-)
rem: monitor closely ... prepare to buy?


ict

c: 67.80 (+)
s: 67.05
r:  68.20
v: +
dmi: +/28.97(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram:> 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 77.76(+)
sts: 96.17(-)
rem: rsi/sts both at overbot levels ... just wait


jfc (jollibee food corp)

c: 117 (+)
s: 115.50, 113
r:  118.70; 120
vol: (-)
dmi: +/22.63(-)
macd: > 0 (sell signal the day before)
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 58.7 (+)
sts: 74.17 (-) (sell signal the day before)
rem: just monitor


marc (marcventures)

c: 3.45 (+)
s: 3.28; 3.05
r:  3.47; 3.520
vol: (-)
dmi: +/27.67(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 67.59 (+)
sts: 75.18 (+)
rem: great price action the past few days but it still has to give a macd buy signal  ... interesting


mwide (megawide)

c: 14.88 (unchanged)
s: 14.78
r:  14.96; 15
vol: (-)
dmi: +/33.69(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 80.49 (unchanged)
sts: 96.99 (+)
rem: momentum weakening ... overbought as ever ... price action may be hinting at a handsome stock divs .. mwide gave 30% stock div last year 2011 .. but only towards end of oct .. keep monitoring


scc (semirara mining)

c: 248 (+)
s: 247.20
r:  249; 250
vol: (-)
dmi: +/39.06(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: <0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 65.46(+)
sts: 65.73 (-)
rem: just hold... macd improving .. may give a buy signal in the coming days .. 248.80 the highest close is just near the bend


secb (security bank)

c: 140.10 (-)
s: 140.10 (intraday low); 140; 137.90
r:  145
vol: (-)
dmi: -/33.97(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 53.29(-)
sts: 18.62 (-)
rem: just watch from the sidelines


sm (sm investments)

c: 644.50 (+)
s: 640 (intraday low)
r: 648 (intraday high); 650
vol: (-)
dmi: +/15.17(1)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 49.64(-)
sts: 48.64 (+)
rem: just continue waiting for a possible reentry


urc (universal robina)

c: 62.10 (-)
s: 61.60 (intraday low); 60.00
r: 63.70 (intraday high); 65.50
vol: (-)
dmi: +/36.22(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 58.22(-)
sts: 40.08 (-)
rem: just monitor ..


web (philweb)

c: 16.76 (+)
s: 16.68 (intraday low)
r: 16.76; 16.80; 16.90; 17
vol: (+)
dmi: -/18.57(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 86.78(+)
sts: 98.33 (+)
rem: web is at its 52-week highs ... been overbot for quite a time now ... but still heading up north... continue on with the trading plan

in the news: bloom, pec (08 apr 2012)

- Lumbog coal-mine production on schedule, PNOC-EC says

- Bloomberry eyes Q1 2013 opening

in the news: pec (07 apr 2012)

- PNOC-EC To Finalize Investment Plans, Follow-On Stock Offering

when do i buy? - 2

a member of the finance manila stock market forum sent me a pm the other day ... here it is verbatim and my reply ... i tot it is a good follow up on an earlier post about when to buy ...


question: 

Sent: Tue Apr 03, 2012 10:35 am

Sir xxx,

saw from the blog that you guys are eye-ing AGI for a re-entry, may I ask what indicators you look at to confirm or at least to affirm yourselves that it is bound for a reversal already? I am looking at SMDC parang beat down rin sa kanya.

Thanks

reply:

hi ...

check this out ...

when do i buy?

http://1kagemusha.blogspot.com/2012/03/when-do-i-buy.html

if today agi closes green and tomoro another green day ... a small initial position may be establised the next trading day ... just set up ur cutloss price ... if u cant wait buy today a small position then just add as the price continues to advance. i always look at the macd and the histogram ... look at the macd today of agi ... if the histogram changes direction ... then u may buy ur initial position.

see agi macd last 10 feb ... then look at the price action after that ... thats what i look for when i buy my initial position ... gives me maximum profit possibilities

smdc's chart seems ok na for initial entry ... set ur cutloss point ... then just add as the price moves up until u fill ur target volume ... adjust ur cutloss as the price goes up.

goodtimes!

back to: my trading rules

today's log (4 april 2012)

sold my remaining ffi ... will just buy bak ...

bot a few more fdc

today's log (3 april 2012)

sold a few more ffi

added some more mno

today's log (2 april 2012)

sold some mnop

sold some ffi

bot some nopq

The Ninja Stock Monitor (1 apr 2012)

selected technical indicators of PSE-listed stocks
these are my trading notes for my reference only
by no means are these to be taken by the reader as recommendations to buy or sell

legend:
c: closing price
s: support
r: resistance
vol: volume (+ above 5dma; - below 5dma)
dmi/adx: directional movement index/average directional index
macd: moving average convergence divergence
rsi: relative strength index
sts: stochastics
rem: remarks
unch: unchanged
(+): higher
(-): lower


30 March 2012 closing prices

acr (alsons consolidated resources)

c: 1.40 (+)
s: 1.37 (intraday low), 1.36
r:  1.41
vol:+
dmi: +/44.41(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 53.68 (+)
sts: 14.29 (+)
rem: no macd buy signal yet ... sts same as macd ... maybe good to buy initial position ... monitor closely

agi (alliance global)

c: 12.60 (-)
s: 12.56 (intraday low), 12.10
r:  12.70 (intraday high);13.00
vol:-
dmi: +/39.78(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction:(-)
rsi: 55.76 (-)
sts: 53.01 (-)
rem: agi's immediate trend is down ... macd gave a sell signal last week ... rsi/sts both pointing south ... just continue monitoring for reentry later.


fph (first philippine holdings)

c: 64.85 (+)
s: 63.75 (intraday low), 63.4
r:  65.1; 65.80
vol:+
dmi: +/30.82(+)
macd: > 0; buy signal
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction:(+)
rsi: 66.49 (+)
sts: 54.4 (+)
rem: macd gave a buy signal ... im taking a break of 65.80 as a positive signal for a rockwell land proxy play towards the 1-2 week of may.

glo (globe telecoms)

c: 1134 (+)
s: 1130; 1118
r:  1150
vol:-
dmi: -/22.92(+)
macd: < 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 42.5(+)
sts: 12.15(+)
rem: ideal time to take initial position ... monitor


ict

c: 65.50 (+)
s: 63.85; 62
r:  65.60
vol:-+
dmi: +/25.7(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram:> 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 72.49(+)
sts: 98.18(-)
rem: ict is on a roll ... 65.60 is the last res ... highest close ever ... just monitor and watch closely ... too overbot for my taste


marc (marcventures)

c: 3.13 (unch)
s: 3.05; 3.0
r:  3.13; 3.20
vol:-
dmi: +/27.88(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 56.42 (unch)
sts: 29.01 (+)
rem: just resting for a while for the holy week ... my bias is that marc will push up north again in the coming weeks ... but look before leaping.

mwide (megawide)

c: 14.78 (+)
s: 14.2
r:  14.96; 15
vol:-
dmi: +/32.51(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 79.8 (+)
sts: 88.72 (+)
rem: rsi/sts already at overbot levels ... highest close ever ... already 1.90 pesos up since last ninja monitor ... exercise caution alert!


scc (semirara mining)

c: 244.80 (-)
s: 242; 241
r:  245; 250
vol: -
dmi: +/39.5(-)
macd: > 0; sell signal
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 61.96(-)
sts: 75.82 (-); sell signal
rem: macd and sts both gave sell signals ... my personal discretion is to continue holding scc ... closely monitor
 
secb (security bank)

c: 143.0 (-)
s: 140 (intraday low)
r:  145... 151.50
vol: +
dmi: +/41.48(-)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: < 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 61.38(-)
sts: 62.64 (-)
rem: resting ... just watch from the sidelines


sm (sm investments)

c: 660 (-)
s: 650 (intraday low); 640.5
r: 675 (intraday high); 680
vol: -
dmi: +/16.13(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (-)
rsi: 58.77(-)
sts: 73.14 (sell signal)
rem: just continue waiting for possible reentry


web (philweb)

c: 16.68 (+)
s: 16.66 (intraday low); 16.52
r: 16.70 (intraday high); 17
vol: -
dmi: -/18.57(+)
macd: > 0
macd histogram: > 0
macd histogram direction: (+)
rsi: 84.89(+)
sts: 99.17 (-)
rem: still heading north ... rsi and sts still at overbot levels ... defying gravity ... continue on with the trading plan